Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 10.570629 12.428803 14.466179 16.858947 19.584885 22.586252 26.133300
2025-04-13 6.867319 9.204463 12.055823 15.757204 20.397895 25.984052 33.172715
2025-04-20 5.484073 8.140439 11.657427 16.576116 23.185929 31.659039 43.222210
2025-04-27 4.650662 7.519720 11.583666 17.619932 26.188899 37.722889 54.184297
2025-05-04 3.881187 6.789051 11.168347 18.031360 28.253128 42.602840 63.877801
2025-05-11 3.192156 6.020116 10.533042 17.966673 29.535107 46.402985 72.274505
2025-05-18 2.603774 5.284266 9.807319 17.617817 30.281398 49.403245 79.654010
2025-05-25 2.132819 4.649329 9.130128 17.222003 30.854675 52.116174 86.718732
2025-06-01 1.752754 4.099273 8.501486 16.799863 31.296635 54.599710 93.534112
2025-06-08 1.386707 3.494203 7.670291 15.898591 30.813666 55.530709 97.925237
2025-06-15 1.264144 3.372159 7.725594 16.591226 33.105301 61.088189 110.006208
2025-06-22 1.126848 3.187628 7.626801 16.973053 34.862473 65.851932 121.050367
2025-06-29 0.911160 2.786309 7.055296 16.439080 35.037009 68.168394 128.591841
2025-07-06 0.704954 2.353639 6.344957 15.542056 34.468892 69.210507 134.176815
2025-07-13 0.645911 2.295175 6.463453 16.386329 37.338257 76.584005 151.218192
2025-07-20 0.603781 2.273290 6.662889 17.426675 40.686527 85.052269 170.696315
2025-07-27 0.533650 2.147367 6.585198 17.835494 42.781944 91.328689 186.601366
2025-08-03 0.452790 1.961376 6.319198 17.771646 43.878025 95.777365 199.420417
2025-08-10 0.374419 1.755455 5.958030 17.426099 44.326614 98.988960 210.109354
2025-08-17 0.307896 1.565821 5.600924 17.034009 44.621976 101.899241 220.373964
2025-08-24 0.252073 1.393496 5.255288 16.615848 44.805745 104.579086 230.326181
2025-08-31 0.194938 1.187952 4.759639 15.723113 43.793088 104.722646 235.320344
2025-09-07 0.180492 1.166148 4.842013 16.409181 46.566959 112.916611 256.661939